If d can occur equally likely in the range [0..D] then we have a uniform distribution on the probability of with an upper bound of D. So
and we know by figure 3 that the minimum distance traveled occurs for strategy j=d. What strategy is now our best? That follows from
easily enough.
Presumably the more general case is simply found by integrating over the probability distribution, whatever that may be. The general case can be arrived at then by
where is the boundary of the enclosing space.